2024 Presidential Prediction 538

Data for fivethirtyeight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here. The economist is tracking the contest to be america’s next president.


2024 Presidential Prediction 538

Data for fivethirtyeight’s previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here. First, our forecast caps a poll’s sample size at 1,500 respondents as a way to decrease the weight of surveys with huge samples, which, in our modern era of increased.

Trump Has A Slight Edge In The Polls, But The Fundamentals Favor Biden.

This article explains how we did it:

When The Dates Of Tracking Polls From The Same Pollster Overlap, Only The Most Recent Version Is Shown.

538 published their official forecast for the 2024 election on june 11, showing that biden is currently just ahead in the close race.

Images References :

While Former President Donald Trump Has A Lead In Most Key Swing States, They Are Close.

It focuses on the states that are expected to be most competitive in the effort by the campaigns to get to 270 electoral votes, a majority of the 538 total available.

Data For Fivethirtyeight's Previous Favorability, Presidential Approval And National 2024 Republican Primary Averages Is Available For Download Here.

Donald trump’s lead over joe biden is small, but real.